The roster of swing states that both sides can genuinely hope to win may be as small next year as at any point in modern history no more than seven or eight and perhaps as few as four . Twenty states have voted for the Democratic nominee in each of the past four presidential elections from Barack Obamas first win in through Joe Bidens victory in . Twenty of the states or have voted the same way in four consecutive presidential elections. Thats the highest level of such consistency since the turn of the century. Even when Franklin D. Roosevelt won four consecutive elections from through only about twothirds of the . states voted the . same way each time each time . The list of true swing states entirely within reach for either side may dwindle to no more . Arizona Georgia and Wisconsin three states that flipped from Trump in to Biden in remain toss ups. North Carolina another of the switchers hasnt moved as definitively but has been reliably red in federal elections since Obama won it in . North Carolina has not moved as decisively but has tilted reliably red . But Democrats have regained ground in three of those Rustbelt states with Biden’s success in recent years . Democrats have recaptured each of those states with recapturing their party winning governorship in all three governorships . The key to success in those Rust Belt states with success was the . Democrats winning the . election was the most striking success in the election. That success was especially striking because it came despite exit polls that were most negative exit polls . That success in that performance. That performance . That performance. that came despite the most positive exit polls. That came despite it came with the most negative performance. It came despite Exit polls that came from the . exit showing that it came on the most important exit polls
One year out, here’s what we know about how the presidential race will look on
